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How Did Inflation Data Impact the Market?
The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.5% in January, exceeding economist expectations of 0.3%. Year-over-year inflation now stands at 3%, while core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 3.3%. This report complicates the Fed’s outlook, as officials have stressed they need “greater confidence” that inflation is cooling before considering rate cuts.
Following the data release, traders reduced their expectations for multiple rate cuts in 2024. Market pricing now suggests just one 25-basis-point cut this year, compared to previous estimates of two. The 10-year Treasury yield spiked to 4.65%, its highest level in over two weeks, reflecting fears that rates will remain higher for longer.
Which Sectors Are Feeling the Pressure?
All 11 S&P 500 sectors were in the red, with real estate leading losses, down 1.4%. The sector, which is highly sensitive to interest rates, was hit hard as Treasury yields climbed. Utilities also declined 0.7%, while energy stocks dropped 1.5% as crude oil prices fell.
Financials and consumer discretionary stocks also struggled, with banks facing the prospect of a prolonged period of high interest rates that could slow lending demand. Growth stocks, particularly in the tech sector, also saw weakness, as the cost of capital remains elevated.
Which Stocks Are Standing Out?
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