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Stronger Dollar Adds to Gold’s Struggles
The U.S. dollar index (.DXY) rose 0.2%, extending its rebound from an 11-week low, and making dollar-priced gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
Safe-haven demand for the greenback strengthened amid mixed trade signals from U.S. President Donald Trump, who floated a 25% “reciprocal” tariff on European cars and hinted at extending tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada until April 2. These developments pushed traders towards the dollar, pressuring gold, which was already facing profit-taking from recent record highs.
Markets Eye U.S. Inflation Data for Fed Clues
Investors are closely watching the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index set for release on Friday. The PCE monthly index is expected to come in at 0.3%, unchanged from December 2024, according to a Reuters poll.
With several Federal Reserve officials scheduled to speak, traders are searching for signals on future monetary policy. Markets currently anticipate at least two rate cuts this year, with approximately 55 basis points of easing priced in for 2025.
Trump’s Trade Rhetoric Fuels Market Uncertainty
Trump’s shifting stance on tariffs added to the market’s uncertainty. While he suggested a delay in tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods, a White House official maintained that tariffs remain in effect “as of this moment.” The dollar’s strength also came as the euro dropped 0.1% to $1.0473, and the yen gained ground as U.S. Treasury yields slipped on concerns over U.S. economic growth.
Gold Market Forecast: Bearish Outlook Prevails
The combined impact of a stronger dollar, potential Fed rate cuts, and mixed trade signals suggests a bearish outlook for gold in the short term.
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