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Global Markets Signal a Bear Cycle
Trump’s tariff policy has unsettled international equity markets. Outside China, global stocks are declining sharply, with several major indices breaking long-term support levels.
Europe: The DJ Stoxx 600 fell below 500, and the FTSE 100 is breaking support at 8000.
India: The Nifty is already in a primary downtrend. A breakdown below 22,000 would confirm a bear market.
Australia: The ASX 200 failed to break resistance at 8050, confirming the start of a bear trend.
Interestingly, China’s CSI300 is fluctuating in wide ranges. Despite a staggering 54% tariff rate, the index remains above its 50-week weighted moving average. This indicates domestic policy support or delayed investor reaction.
On the other hand, gold and silver prices experienced notable declines following President Trump’s recent tariff announcements. Despite being exempted from the new tariffs, gold fell from its all-time high, with spot prices dropping below $3,000 per ounce on Monday. Similarly, silver prices declined sharply during the session. These movements suggest that, despite their traditional safe-haven status, precious metals were not immune to the broader market selloff triggered by escalating trade tensions.
Conclusion
Trump’s aggressive tariff measures have reignited global trade tensions. The S&P 500 and Japan’s Nikkei have dropped sharply, and other major indices have entered bear territory. US labour data remains strong, but warning signs are building. Bond yields are falling, truck sales are down, and global stocks are breaking support levels. These signals point to rising recession risks. Gold and silver have also declined despite their safe-haven status. Investors should prepare for continued market volatility and closely watch trade talks and economic data.
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