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China Stocks Dip on Trade Woes; Nikkei Climbs on U.S.-Japan Deal Hopes

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Nikkei Index – Daily Chart – 180425

The Nikkei 225 gained 0.71% on Friday morning, buoyed by hopes of a US-Japan trade deal and expectations of a cautious Bank of Japan. The BoJ could delay raising interest rates if tariffs impact Japan’s economy, easing demand for the Japanese Yen. On Friday, the USD/JPY pair held onto overnight gains, bolstering Japanese firms’ export competitiveness and corporate earnings.

Nissan Motor Corp. (7201) gained 1.39%, while Sony Corp. (6758) rose 0.52% on trade-deal hopes.

Outlook: Tariffs and BoJ Caution

Trade-related developments will continue to influence near-term sentiment. Investors should consider:

  • US-China trade-related news: An escalation in the trade war could weigh on risk sentiment, while trade talks could boost demand for Mainland-listed stocks
  • Meaningful stimulus measures from Beijing, targeting domestic consumption, may cushion the downside risks.
  • Central bank insights into the effect of trade policies on the US and Asian economies and central bank rate trajectories could dictate market sentiment.

On Friday, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reportedly reaffirmed the Bank would continue raising interest rates if inflation progressed toward the 2% target. However, he acknowledged the need to monitor the economic fallout from US tariffs, potentially delaying rate hikes.

In this environment, investors should consider strategies to navigate trade-related volatility. For guidance on resilient asset classes, consult our latest market insights.

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