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Silver (XAG) Forecast: All Eyes on Powell—Will Fed Clarity Spark a Turnaround?

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Political tension adds another layer of intrigue, with President Trump and Treasury Secretary Bessent publicly urging rate cuts. While the Fed is unlikely to react to political pressure, Powell may be pressed to defend the Fed’s independence and its inflation-fighting stance.

Does Industrial Demand Still Offer Support?

Amid macro headwinds, silver continues to draw steady interest from industrial buyers. Demand linked to clean energy—especially solar panel production and electric vehicles—remains strong. Growth in China and India’s renewable sectors has provided some cushion against falling investor interest. While this demand doesn’t spark rallies, it offers underlying support, keeping the metal tied to real-world economic growth even as financial markets shift focus to monetary policy.

Market Forecast: Fed Decision and Messaging Take Center Stage

The week ahead is fundamentally driven. With the Fed poised to hold rates and Powell expected to defend current policy, traders are likely to remain cautious.

The sharp drop in June cut expectations, combined with rising political pressure and upcoming speeches from several Fed officials on Friday, sets the stage for continued uncertainty.

Unless the Fed signals a shift in its outlook—or new data weakens the case for higher rates—silver will likely remain under macro pressure.

Industrial demand may soften the blow, but it won’t be enough to reverse the broader tone without a clear change in policy direction.

More Information in our Economic Calendar.

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