{"id":39159,"date":"2025-03-18T05:34:35","date_gmt":"2025-03-18T08:34:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/2025\/03\/18\/dax-index-news-trade-tensions-and-bundestag-vote-influence-dax-outlook-and-forecast\/"},"modified":"2025-03-18T05:34:35","modified_gmt":"2025-03-18T08:34:35","slug":"dax-index-news-trade-tensions-and-bundestag-vote-influence-dax-outlook-and-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/2025\/03\/18\/dax-index-news-trade-tensions-and-bundestag-vote-influence-dax-outlook-and-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"Dax Index News: Trade Tensions and Bundestag Vote Influence DAX Outlook and Forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Last week, President Trump threatened 200% tariffs on EU wine and spirits after the EU introduced a 50% levy on US whiskey.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the increasing focus on US terms, the Bundestag vote remains the primary market-moving event for the EU.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"what-the-polls-say\">What the Polls Say<\/h2>\n<p>Oliver Rakau, Chief German Economist and ECB Commentator at Oxford Economics conducted a poll on X (formerly Twitter), asking whether Germany\u2019s fiscal splurge will pass the Bundestag and Bundesrat:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Yes, for sure: 37.4%.<\/li>\n<li>Probably yes: 55.4%.<\/li>\n<li>Probably no: 4.3%.<\/li>\n<li>No way: 2.9%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The results highlight investor optimism toward the vote and its potential to drive demand for German-listed stocks.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"us-market-recap-us-retail-sales-ease-recession-fears\">US Market Recap: US Retail Sales Ease Recession Fears<\/h2>\n<p>On Monday, March 18, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fxempire.com\/forecasts\/article\/nasdaq-index-sp500-dow-jones-forecasts-nasdaq-gains-ground-as-intel-soars-7-3-1504895\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">US equity markets<\/a> posted gains, consolidating the March 14 relief rally. Progress toward ending the Ukraine war and US economic data bolstered demand for risk assets.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fxempire.com\/indices\/us30-usd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dow<\/a> and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fxempire.com\/indices\/spx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">S&amp;P 500<\/a> rose 0.85% and 0.64%, respectively, while the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fxempire.com\/indices\/tech100-usd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nasdaq Composite<\/a> Index gained 0.31%.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fxempire.com\/news\/article\/us-retail-sales-miss-0-2-growth-fuels-fed-rate-cut-bets-and-reshapes-market-outlook-1504775\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">US retail sales<\/a> increased by a modest 0.2% month-on-month (MoM) in February after tumbling 1.2% in January. The softer-than-expected rise in retail sales supported expectations of a more dovish Fed rate path.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the retail sales control group\u2014which excludes volatile components such as car sales, building materials, and gas stations\u2014jumped by 1%, reversing January\u2019s 1% drop. The February rebound eased recession concerns.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"us-housing-and-manufacturing-sectors-in-focus\">US Housing and Manufacturing Sectors in Focus<\/h2>\n<p>On March 18, US manufacturing and housing sector figures require consideration.<\/p>\n<p>Economists forecast industrial production to rise 0.2% MoM in February after a 0.5% increase in January. An unexpected fall may retrigger recession fears, weighing on risk sentiment. However, a stronger industrial production reading may signal economic resilience, boosting demand for stocks.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1504947\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1504947\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"\/><\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] Last week, President Trump threatened 200% tariffs on EU wine and spirits after the EU introduced a 50% levy on US whiskey. Despite the increasing focus on US terms, the Bundestag vote remains the primary market-moving event for the EU. What the Polls Say Oliver Rakau, Chief German Economist and ECB Commentator at Oxford Economics conducted a poll on X (formerly Twitter), asking whether Germany\u2019s fiscal splurge will pass the Bundestag and Bundesrat: Yes, for sure: 37.4%. Probably yes: 55.4%. Probably no: 4.3%. No way: 2.9%. The results highlight investor optimism toward the vote and its potential to drive demand for German-listed stocks. US Market Recap: US Retail Sales Ease Recession Fears On Monday, March 18, US equity markets posted gains, consolidating the March 14 relief rally. Progress toward ending the Ukraine war and US economic data bolstered demand for risk assets. The Dow and the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.85% and 0.64%, respectively, while the Nasdaq Composite Index gained 0.31%. US retail sales increased by a modest 0.2% month-on-month (MoM) in February after tumbling 1.2% in January. The softer-than-expected rise in retail sales supported expectations of a more dovish Fed rate path. Meanwhile, the retail sales control group\u2014which excludes volatile components such as car sales, building materials, and gas stations\u2014jumped by 1%, reversing January\u2019s 1% drop. The February rebound eased recession concerns. US Housing and Manufacturing Sectors in Focus On March 18, US manufacturing and housing sector figures require consideration. Economists forecast industrial production to rise 0.2% MoM in February after a 0.5% increase in January. An unexpected fall may retrigger recession fears, weighing on risk sentiment. However, a stronger industrial production reading may signal economic resilience, boosting demand for stocks. [ad_2]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":39160,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39159","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-financas"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"[ad_1] Last week, President Trump threatened 200% tariffs on EU wine and spirits after the EU introduced a 50% levy on US whiskey. 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Despite the increasing focus on US terms, the Bundestag vote remains the primary market-moving event for the EU. 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