{"id":45678,"date":"2025-05-05T04:54:01","date_gmt":"2025-05-05T07:54:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/2025\/05\/05\/market-prepares-for-the-fed-traders-expect-no-surprise\/"},"modified":"2025-05-05T04:54:01","modified_gmt":"2025-05-05T07:54:01","slug":"market-prepares-for-the-fed-traders-expect-no-surprise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/2025\/05\/05\/market-prepares-for-the-fed-traders-expect-no-surprise\/","title":{"rendered":"Market Prepares for the FED: Traders Expect No Surprise"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1516339\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Fear-and-greed index. Source: https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/markets\/fear-and-greed<\/figcaption><p>The overall improvement is associated with the drop of the \u201c buy defense\u201d narrative: Gold is no longer in favor, along with EUR and JPY. That might also be associated with the end of a rising seasonal cycle for Gold: usually, it consolidates during the May-July period, according to seasonal studies.<\/p>\n<p>Crude oil, on the contrary, has a strong seasonal window to grow in May after dipping in April, so it\u2019s possible to observe the price of WTI oil getting back to the fair price of $60 (that\u2019s a price calculated by <a href=\"http:\/\/eia.gov\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">eia.gov<\/a>)<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"gold\">Gold<\/h2>\n<p>Gold had probably finished its active phase of accumulation and has a chance of locking in a consolidation, here\u2019s why:<\/p>\n<p>Volatility (ATR) on the daily chart had reached the long-term peak: usually, it points to a market ending the active phase of the rally.<\/p>\n<p>The net position of commercial traders from the COT report has been reaching new peaks on a week-to-week basis. Usually, that is associated with the declining price: the continuation of a price trend is unlikely in such circumstances, at least immediately.<\/p>\n<p>From 25-year seasonal studies, Gold has completed the seasonal window of growth, and has a chance of being locked in a consolidation.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1516340\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1516340\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"\/><\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] Fear-and-greed index. Source: https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/markets\/fear-and-greedThe overall improvement is associated with the drop of the \u201c buy defense\u201d narrative: Gold is no longer in favor, along with EUR and JPY. That might also be associated with the end of a rising seasonal cycle for Gold: usually, it consolidates during the May-July period, according to seasonal studies. Crude oil, on the contrary, has a strong seasonal window to grow in May after dipping in April, so it\u2019s possible to observe the price of WTI oil getting back to the fair price of $60 (that\u2019s a price calculated by eia.gov) Gold Gold had probably finished its active phase of accumulation and has a chance of locking in a consolidation, here\u2019s why: Volatility (ATR) on the daily chart had reached the long-term peak: usually, it points to a market ending the active phase of the rally. The net position of commercial traders from the COT report has been reaching new peaks on a week-to-week basis. Usually, that is associated with the declining price: the continuation of a price trend is unlikely in such circumstances, at least immediately. From 25-year seasonal studies, Gold has completed the seasonal window of growth, and has a chance of being locked in a consolidation. [ad_2]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":45679,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45678","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-financas"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45678","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45678"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45678\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45679"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45678"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45678"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tiproject.online\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45678"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}